Romeo Doubs Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Romeo Doubs

NFL · Player Props

Romeo Doubs

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 11:56 PM EST

Analysis

Romeo Doubs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -162 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.8% pass rate.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
The projections expect Romeo Doubs to total 8.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among WRs.
Romeo Doubs has been a much bigger part of his offense's air attack this season (25.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (15.6%).
The the Packers O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Packers to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Packers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: fewest in football.
As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Las Vegas's collection of DEs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in football.

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