Romeo Doubs Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Romeo Doubs

NFL · Player Props

Romeo Doubs

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 5:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Romeo Doubs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Packers being a huge -8.5-point underdog in this game.
The projections expect the Packers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
In this week's game, Romeo Doubs is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.3 targets.
Romeo Doubs's 47.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 36.8.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (a lowly 56.1 per game on average).
Romeo Doubs's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 66.2% to 63.2%.

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