Romeo Doubs Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Romeo Doubs

NFL · Player Props

Romeo Doubs

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Romeo Doubs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
The projections expect Romeo Doubs to accumulate 6.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point gain in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, Romeo Doubs has been more heavily incorporated in his team's passing offense.

Favors Under

The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.1 plays per game.
Romeo Doubs's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 66.2% to 61.3%.

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