Romeo Doubs Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Romeo Doubs

NFL · Player Props

Romeo Doubs

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving TD

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:51 PM EST

Analysis

Romeo Doubs Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+179/-259).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -242 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -259.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has surrendered the highest Completion% in football (72.8%) versus wideouts this year (72.8%).
The Detroit Lions defense has allowed the 6th-most passing touchdowns in the NFL to wideouts: 1.00 per game this year.
The Detroit Lions cornerbacks rank as the worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Detroit Lions pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Packers are a heavy 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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