Romeo Doubs Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Romeo Doubs

NFL · Player Props

Romeo Doubs

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving TD

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 20, 2022 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Romeo Doubs Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+310/-573).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +412 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +310.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the highest Completion% in football (71.2%) versus WRs this year (71.2%).
The Los Angeles Rams defense has given up the most TDs through the air in football to wide receivers: 0.92 per game this year.
The Los Angeles Rams safeties project as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their QB just 2.44 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.
The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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