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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Robert Woods Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 4th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Houston Texans.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • This year, the anemic Titans pass defense has surrendered a massive 71.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the largest rate in the league.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Texans are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.
  • Robert Woods has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (74.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (87.4%).
  • Robert Woods's 54.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a material decline in his receiving prowess over last year's 66.5% rate.

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