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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns

Robert Woods Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-174/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 136.0 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.0% pass rate.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

Robert Woods has gone out for fewer passes this season (73.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (87.4%).

Robert Woods's 56.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows an impressive decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 66.5% figure.

The Browns pass defense has surrendered the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (54.4%) vs. wideouts this year (54.4%).

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