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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Robert Woods Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The Houston Texans offense has played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.94 seconds per snap.
  • This year, the shaky Tennessee Titans pass defense has been gouged for a monstrous 72.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 2nd-largest rate in football.
  • The Titans linebackers profile as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to pass on 55.2% of their chances: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Robert Woods's 35.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 44.5.
  • Robert Woods's 56.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a substantial decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 66.5% rate.

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