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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Robert Woods Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-166).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • This year, the deficient Broncos pass defense has allowed a monstrous 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 7th-worst rate in the league.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Denver's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Texans to call the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The model projects Robert Woods to be a less important option in his team's pass attack in this game (12.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (17.4% in games he has played).
  • Robert Woods's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 66.5% to 57.9%.

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