Robert Woods Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

My Account Log Out

reorder

Robert Woods

NFL · Player Props

Robert Woods

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a whopping 62.8 per game on average).
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
Our trusted projections expect Robert Woods to earn 7.9 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
With a high 21.8% Target% (81st percentile) this year, Robert Woods stands as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.

Favors Under

The Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
At the present time, the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (57.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Texans.
Robert Woods's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 66.5% to 57.6%.
Robert Woods has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging just 6.32 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 21st percentile among wide receivers
The Saints pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58%) to wide receivers this year (58.0%).

More Robert Woods Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow