Robert Woods Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Robert Woods

NFL · Player Props

Robert Woods

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 3:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Robert Woods has totaled far more air yards this year (55.0 per game) than he did last year (42.0 per game).

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
Robert Woods's 36.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 44.5.
Robert Woods's 57.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a significant decline in his receiving ability over last year's 66.5% mark.

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