Robert Woods Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Robert Woods

NFL · Player Props

Robert Woods

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (+118/-158).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Robert Woods to accumulate 7.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among WRs.
Robert Woods has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 20.8% this year, which places him in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
Robert Woods's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 66.1% to 71.5%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
Robert Woods has posted far fewer air yards this year (37.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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