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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (+107/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • Robert Woods has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 20.7% this year, which ranks in the 78th percentile among WRs.
  • Robert Woods's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 66.1% to 69.8%.
  • The Houston Texans defense has yielded the 9th-most receiving yards per game in football (169.0) to WRs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.
  • Robert Woods has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (42.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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