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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Robert Woods to accumulate 7.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
  • Robert Woods has been heavily involved in his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 20.7% this year, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Robert Woods's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 66.1% to 69.1%.
  • The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
  • Robert Woods has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (44.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).

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