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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Robert Woods has run a route on 86.9% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.66 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in football.
  • The Houston Texans safeties grade out as the worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
  • The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Tennessee Titans have incorporated play action on 30.3% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 40.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 7th-least in football.

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