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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Robert Woods Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+295/-519).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -482 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -519.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a heavy 10-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

The Tennessee Titans have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.

Robert Woods has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 21.9% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 90th percentile among WRs.

Robert Woods ranks in the 89th percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 0.40 per game.

The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.

The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (61.2%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (61.2%).

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