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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Robert Woods Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+307/-551).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -551.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • Robert Woods has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.8% this year, which ranks in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed the 3rd-most passing TDs in the NFL to wide receivers: 1.25 per game this year.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers rank as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
  • The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.7 plays per game.
  • Robert Woods has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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