Robert Woods Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Robert Woods

NFL · Player Props

Robert Woods

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving TD

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Robert Woods Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+307/-551).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -551.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
Robert Woods has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.8% this year, which ranks in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed the 3rd-most passing TDs in the NFL to wide receivers: 1.25 per game this year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers rank as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.7 plays per game.
Robert Woods has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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