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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos

Robert Woods Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+310/-561).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +361 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +310.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Robert Woods to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game near the end zone this week (19.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.6% in games he has played).

Robert Woods's 46.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 75th percentile for wide receivers.

The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.

Robert Woods has totaled far fewer air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).

The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (62.6%).

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