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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Robert Tonyan Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
  • Robert Tonyan has run a route on 59.8% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Robert Tonyan has been among the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 3.1 receptions per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.
  • Robert Tonyan's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 70.8% to 83.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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