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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams

Robert Tonyan Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to notch 3.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among TEs.

Robert Tonyan has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 13.5% this year, which puts him in the 84th percentile among TEs.

The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Robert Tonyan's receiving skills have gotten a boost this year, notching 3.5 yards per game vs a measly 2.3 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (67.9%) versus tight ends this year (67.9%).

The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their QB just 2.44 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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