Robert Tonyan Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Robert Tonyan

NFL · Player Props

Robert Tonyan

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Robert Tonyan Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-189/+149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -189.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to accrue 4.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among tight ends.
Robert Tonyan has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 14.0% this year, which places him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Robert Tonyan's receiving talent has gotten a boost this year, totaling 3.7 yards per game compared to just 2.3 last year.
Robert Tonyan's possession skills have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 70.8% to 83.7%.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.

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