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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Tyson Bagent.
  • The Raiders defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (54.0) vs. tight ends this year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been gouged for the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.2%) vs. TEs this year (78.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Bears to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have just 120.4 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.2 per game) this year.
  • Robert Tonyan Jr.'s 22.1% Route Participation Rate this season signifies a a material drop-off in his pass game utilization over last season's 60.5% figure.
  • After accruing 22.0 air yards per game last season, Robert Tonyan Jr. has produced significantly fewer this season, now boasting 7.0 per game.

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