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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, the weak Carolina Panthers defense has been gouged for the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a whopping 6.64 YAC.

The Panthers safeties grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 47.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.4 per game) this year.

Robert Tonyan Jr. has gone out for fewer passes this year (21.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (60.5%).

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