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Robert Tonyan
NFL · Player Props
Robert Tonyan
TE · Green Bay Packers
Receiving Yards
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 6, 2022 6:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.8% pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to accumulate 5.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
  • Robert Tonyan has been much more involved in his team's passing attack this year (15.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (10.7%).
  • Robert Tonyan has posted quite a few more receiving yards per game (37.0) this year than he did last year (28.0).
Favors Under
  • The Packers are a heavy 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Robert Tonyan has compiled far fewer air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).
  • Robert Tonyan's pass-game efficiency has worsened this season, averaging a measly 7.21 yards-per-target vs a 8.76 rate last season.
  • Robert Tonyan's ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this year, notching a mere 4.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.78 figure last year.
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