My Account Log Out
 
 
Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers are a giant 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 67.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to garner 5.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
  • Robert Tonyan has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 15.0% this year, which puts him in the 85th percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Robert Tonyan has put up far fewer air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (32.0 per game).
  • Robert Tonyan's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling just 7.34 yards-per-target compared to a 8.76 figure last season.
  • Robert Tonyan's talent in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this season, notching just 4.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.78 figure last season.
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 37.0) vs. tight ends this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™