Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Robert Tonyan

NFL · Player Props

Robert Tonyan

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 4:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to total 3.9 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among TEs.
Robert Tonyan has been among the leading TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 28.0 yards per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.
Robert Tonyan's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 70.8% to 86.6%.
The New York Giants pass defense has conceded the 10th-highest Completion% in football (73.3%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (73.3%).
The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 6th-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Packers are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 4th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.

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