Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Robert Tonyan

NFL · Player Props

Robert Tonyan

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-113/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to accumulate 4.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among TEs.
Robert Tonyan has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 14.1% this year, which puts him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Robert Tonyan has been among the best pass-game TEs this year, averaging a terrific 32.0 yards per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Robert Tonyan has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).
Robert Tonyan's receiving efficiency has worsened this season, accumulating a mere 7.15 yards-per-target compared to a 8.76 mark last season.
Robert Tonyan's talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, accumulating a measly 4.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.78 rate last year.

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