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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-113/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to accumulate 4.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among TEs.
  • Robert Tonyan has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 14.1% this year, which puts him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Robert Tonyan has been among the best pass-game TEs this year, averaging a terrific 32.0 yards per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.
  • The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Robert Tonyan has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).
  • Robert Tonyan's receiving efficiency has worsened this season, accumulating a mere 7.15 yards-per-target compared to a 8.76 mark last season.
  • Robert Tonyan's talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, accumulating a measly 4.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.78 rate last year.

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