Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Robert Tonyan

NFL · Player Props

Robert Tonyan

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 18, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to accrue 4.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
Robert Tonyan has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 14.5% this year, which ranks in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Robert Tonyan has been among the best pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging a terrific 34.0 yards per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Robert Tonyan has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).
Robert Tonyan's pass-game efficiency has diminished this season, compiling just 7.33 yards-per-target compared to a 8.76 mark last season.
Robert Tonyan's talent in generating extra yardage have tailed off this season, accumulating a measly 4.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.78 figure last season.

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