Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Robert Tonyan

NFL · Player Props

Robert Tonyan

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-101/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to accumulate 5.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

Robert Tonyan's receiving efficiency has worsened this year, compiling a mere 7.32 yards-per-target vs a 8.76 rate last year.
Robert Tonyan's skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this season, averaging a measly 4.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.78 mark last season.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has shown good efficiency against tight ends this year, conceding 5.54 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.45 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in football.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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