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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants

Robert Tonyan Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+307/-559).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +353 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +307.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Robert Tonyan's 23.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 78th percentile for TEs.

Robert Tonyan's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 70.8% to 86.6%.

Robert Tonyan grades out in the 77th percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.25 per game.

The New York Giants pass defense has conceded the 10th-highest Completion% in football (73.3%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (73.3%).

The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 6th-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 4th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.

THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to be a less important option in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (12.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played).

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