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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans

Robert Tonyan Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+279/-490).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +325 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +279.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.

Robert Tonyan has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 12.8% this year, which ranks in the 77th percentile among TEs.

Robert Tonyan's 28.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 83rd percentile for tight ends.

The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Robert Tonyan's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 70.8% to 85.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Robert Tonyan has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).

The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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