Robby Anderson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Robby Anderson

NFL · Player Props

Robby Anderson

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Robby Anderson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+303/-548).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +360 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +303.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Panthers are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Robby Anderson to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game near the goal line this week (16.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (10.0% in games he has played).
Robby Anderson's 55.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 48.0.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.2 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
Robby Anderson has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (60.0 per game) than he did last season (68.0 per game).
The San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 5th-least passing TDs in football to wide receivers: 0.50 per game this year.

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