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Robby Anderson

Robby Anderson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Robby Anderson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+303/-548).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +360 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +303.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Robby Anderson to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game near the goal line this week (16.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (10.0% in games he has played).
  • Robby Anderson's 55.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 48.0.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • Robby Anderson has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (60.0 per game) than he did last season (68.0 per game).
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 5th-least passing TDs in football to wide receivers: 0.50 per game this year.

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