Robby Anderson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Robby Anderson

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 4:50 PM EST

Analysis

Robby Anderson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+321/-591).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +360 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +321.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Robby Anderson has accumulated a whopping 67.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 78th percentile among WRs.
Robby Anderson's 49.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 80th percentile for WRs.
Robby Anderson's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 49.5% to 63.3%.
Robby Anderson ranks in the 78th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 0.32 per game.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints defense has conceded the 6th-least passing touchdowns in the league to WRs: 0.79 per game since the start of last season.
The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.