Robby Anderson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Robby Anderson

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Robby Anderson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+292/-511).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +313 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +292.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Robby Anderson has notched a colossal 68.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile among wideouts.
Robby Anderson's 48.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 77th percentile for wideouts.
The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Robby Anderson has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, hauling in just 49.5% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 2nd percentile among wideouts
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (64.0%).
The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.