Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Rico Dowdle

NFL · Player Props

Rico Dowdle

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.43 seconds per play.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, conceding 4.87 yards-per-carry.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive ends project as the 7th-worst group of DEs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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