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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.0% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects Rico Dowdle to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (18.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.9% in games he has played).

The New York Jets safeties grade out as the 32nd-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The New York Jets defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding just 4.28 yards-per-carry.

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