Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

My Account Log Out

reorder

Rico Dowdle

NFL · Player Props

Rico Dowdle

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.0% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Rico Dowdle to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (18.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.9% in games he has played).
The New York Jets safeties grade out as the 32nd-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The New York Jets defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding just 4.28 yards-per-carry.

More Rico Dowdle Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow