Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Rico Dowdle

NFL · Player Props

Rico Dowdle

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.
After taking on 0.0% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Rico Dowdle has been called on more in the ground game this season, currently making up 16.9%.
With an outstanding total of 4.46 adjusted yards per carry (78th percentile), Rico Dowdle rates as one of the best pure runners in football this year.
As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Seattle's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
At the present time, the 8th-least run-oriented team in the league (36.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dallas Cowboys.
Opposing squads have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Cowboys defense this year, averaging 28.19 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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