Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Rico Dowdle

NFL · Player Props

Rico Dowdle

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 17.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are a heavy favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys as the 4th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
After taking on 0.0% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Rico Dowdle has been more involved in the ground game this season, currently comprising 16.3%.
The Giants defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, yielding 4.73 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys offensive scheme to tilt 5.7% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
The projections expect the Cowboys offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.38 seconds per snap.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
The Giants defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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