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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.
  • The model projects the Cowboys as the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 67.0 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a whopping 61.1 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • With a subpar 78.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (16th percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle stands among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among RBs.

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