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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to start backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Cowboys are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 59.7% of their chances: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have 133.0 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.4 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • With a bad 80.0% Adjusted Catch Rate (21st percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league among RBs.
  • Rico Dowdle's 5.3 adjusted yards per target this year shows a substantial decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 7.4 mark.
  • Rico Dowdle's ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this season, totaling a measly 6.61 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 10.00 figure last season.

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