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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

The model projects the Cowboys as the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 67.0 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a whopping 61.1 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

With a subpar 78.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (16th percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle stands among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among RBs.

Rico Dowdle's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, compiling just 5.05 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.44 figure last year.

Rico Dowdle's 6.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a substantial decrease in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 10.0% mark.

The Buccaneers pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 7.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 10th-fewest in the league.

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