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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush.

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys grades out as the worst in football this year.

Rico Dowdle has been one of the most unreliable receivers in the league among RBs, catching a measly 80.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

Rico Dowdle's pass-game efficiency has declined this season, notching a measly 5.10 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.44 rate last season.

Rico Dowdle's 6.41 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a meaningful decrease in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 10.0% figure.

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