Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Rico Dowdle

NFL · Player Props

Rico Dowdle

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Cowboys as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
With a remarkable 7.0 adjusted yards per target (75th percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle rates among the leading RBs in the pass game in the league.
The Bills defense has been gouged for the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (42.0) vs. running backs this year.

Favors Under

When it comes to air yards, Rico Dowdle ranks in the paltry 17th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -2.0 per game.
The Bills linebackers rank as the 9th-best unit in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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