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Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 7.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to pass on 62.1% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.As far as a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.89 seconds per play, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 10th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.Opposing offenses have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: most in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.When talking about air yards, Rico Dowdle ranks in the measly 16th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -2.0 per game.This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing RBs: a paltry 5.4 yards.The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has performed very well when opposing running backs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 4th-fewest in football.As it relates to defensive ends pass-rushing, Philadelphia's group of DEs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.
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