Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Rico Dowdle

NFL · Player Props

Rico Dowdle

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 7.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to pass on 62.1% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
As far as a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.89 seconds per play, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 10th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: most in the league.

Favors Under

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
When talking about air yards, Rico Dowdle ranks in the measly 16th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -2.0 per game.
This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing RBs: a paltry 5.4 yards.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has performed very well when opposing running backs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 4th-fewest in football.
As it relates to defensive ends pass-rushing, Philadelphia's group of DEs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.

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