Rico Dowdle Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Rico Dowdle

NFL · Player Props

Rico Dowdle

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Rico Dowdle Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-154/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
After comprising 0.0% of his offense's carries last season, Rico Dowdle has had a larger role in the rushing attack this season, now making up 19.3%.
The Bills defensive tackles project as the 3rd-worst DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run on 39.4% of their chances: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

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