Rico Dowdle Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Rico Dowdle

NFL · Player Props

Rico Dowdle

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Rico Dowdle Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a huge favorite by 13.5 points.
The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to run the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
Rico Dowdle has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (17.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (0.0%).

Favors Under

The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offense to tilt 6.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
At the present time, the 9th-least run-centric team in the league (36.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Dallas Cowboys.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Washington's unit has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 8th-best in the league.

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