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Richie James

Richie James Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Richie James Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Richie James has been among the most reliable receivers in football, hauling in a stellar 85.1% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 100th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 57.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The New York Giants O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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