Richie James Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Richie James

NFL · Player Props

Richie James

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Richie James Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Richie James has been among the most reliable receivers in the league, catching a terrific 84.0% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Richie James to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing attack this week (5.7% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (15.3% in games he has played).
The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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