Richie James Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Richie James

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

Richie James Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-113/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 9th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Richie James has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, completing a stellar 83.6% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.97 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in the NFL.
The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Richie James has been among the weakest wide receivers in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 2.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 19th percentile.