Richie James Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Richie James

WR · New York Giants

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM EST

Analysis

Richie James Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+276/-469).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +282 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +276.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Richie James to be a more important option in his offense's passing game near the goal line this week (19.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
Richie James has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, catching an impressive 88.0% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 98th percentile among WRs.
The Chicago Bears defense has given up the 5th-most TDs through the air in football to WRs: 1.20 per game since the start of last season.
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.7 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The New York Giants O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.